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Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

4 markets
Volume
$313K
24h Vol
+$45K
Liquidity
$17K
Resolution
Sat, Jan 31, 2026

Tags

TechBusinessgeminiAIGemini 3
View on Polymarket

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

4 markets
Volume
$313K
24h Vol
+$45K
Liquidity
$17K
Resolution
Sat, Jan 31, 2026

Tags

TechBusinessgeminiAIGemini 3
View on Polymarket

Markets (4)

YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Vol: $114K
Liq: $2K
+$2K 24h

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

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Outcome
Volume
24h
Chance
40%+
$114K
+$2K
77.5%
50%+
$95K
+$43K
13.5%
60%+
$50K
+$5
7.0%
70%+
$54K
—
4.2%
4 pinned

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
40%+
1H
-1.0%
24H
+1.0%
7D
+2.0%
30D
+8.0%
Order Book
YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
1H
-1.0%
24H
+1.0%
7D
+2.0%
30D
+8.0%
Order Book
NO
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Volume
$114K
24h Vol
+$2K
Liquidity
$2K