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Fed rate cut by...?

4 markets
Volume
$358K
24h Vol
+$7K
Liquidity
$118K
Resolution
Wed, Jun 17, 2026

Tags

FedJerome PowellEconomyEconomic PolicyFed RatesFinance
View on Polymarket

Fed rate cut by...?

4 markets
Volume
$358K
24h Vol
+$7K
Liquidity
$118K
Resolution
Wed, Jun 17, 2026

Tags

FedJerome PowellEconomyEconomic PolicyFed RatesFinance
View on Polymarket

Markets (4)

YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Vol: $11K
Liq: $25K
+$115 24h
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Fed rate cut by...?

Loading chart...
Outcome
Volume
24h
Chance
June Meeting
$11K
+$115
79.5%
April Meeting
$17K
+$3
38.0%
March Meeting
$8K
+$24
26.5%
January Meeting
$322K
+$7K
4.7%
4 pinned
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
June Meeting
1H
—
24H
-0.5%
7D
+8.0%
30D
+5.0%
Order Book
YES
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
1H
—
24H
-0.5%
7D
+8.0%
30D
+5.0%
Order Book
NO
Ask
SharesTotal
No asks
Spread—
No bids
Bid
SharesTotal
Volume
$11K
24h Vol
+$115
Liquidity
$25K